Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000829 0.000890 0.000954 0.001026 0.001106 0.001193 0.001293
2026-01-18 0.000739 0.000822 0.000913 0.001022 0.001149 0.001295 0.001474
2026-01-25 0.000778 0.000893 0.001025 0.001190 0.001394 0.001641 0.001965
2026-02-01 0.000704 0.000823 0.000964 0.001146 0.001378 0.001668 0.002067
2026-02-08 0.000650 0.000771 0.000919 0.001114 0.001370 0.001700 0.002173
2026-02-15 0.000612 0.000737 0.000892 0.001101 0.001383 0.001759 0.002315
2026-02-22 0.000574 0.000700 0.000857 0.001074 0.001374 0.001784 0.002411
2026-03-01 0.000535 0.000659 0.000815 0.001035 0.001343 0.001775 0.002454
2026-03-08 0.000511 0.000634 0.000794 0.001021 0.001346 0.001813 0.002569
2026-03-15 0.000486 0.000609 0.000770 0.001002 0.001340 0.001836 0.002661
2026-03-22 0.000452 0.000570 0.000724 0.000950 0.001283 0.001779 0.002619
2026-03-29 0.000431 0.000547 0.000701 0.000928 0.001269 0.001784 0.002679
2026-04-05 0.000412 0.000528 0.000684 0.000919 0.001277 0.001834 0.002833
2026-04-12 0.000396 0.000512 0.000671 0.000914 0.001293 0.001898 0.003025
2026-04-19 0.000426 0.000562 0.000754 0.001058 0.001555 0.002398 0.004104
2026-04-26 0.000401 0.000533 0.000720 0.001020 0.001519 0.002380 0.004172
2026-05-03 0.000381 0.000509 0.000694 0.000993 0.001497 0.002386 0.004290
2026-05-10 0.000367 0.000494 0.000679 0.000982 0.001502 0.002441 0.004523
2026-05-17 0.000351 0.000475 0.000657 0.000959 0.001484 0.002452 0.004657
2026-05-24 0.000333 0.000453 0.000629 0.000925 0.001445 0.002416 0.004679
2026-05-31 0.000322 0.000440 0.000616 0.000913 0.001444 0.002455 0.004887
2026-06-07 0.000310 0.000426 0.000600 0.000896 0.001433 0.002474 0.005047
2026-06-14 0.000293 0.000403 0.000568 0.000852 0.001368 0.002377 0.004898